With the heightened crypto regulatory crackdown and the US SEC’s change of attitude towards the industry, Bloomberg analyst argues all 12 applications will be approved in early January.
The Bitcoin (BTC) bullish narrative that began in October is expected to continue in the coming weeks after the flagship crypto asset opened December on a high note. During the early New York trading session on Friday, Bitcoin price reached a new yearly high of around $38.8k, thus rejuvenating the $40k narrative before the end of the year. Moreover, Bitcoin price had been consolidating in an ascending triangle on the daily time frame, which signaled a possible bullish continuation.
US Spot Bitcoin ETF Politics at Play
With more than 10 fund managers seeking to offer spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States amid heightened demand for crypto investment products by institutional investors, speculation on the approval data has significantly increased. According to Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart, the approval window for all the 12 spot BTC EFTs in the United States is likely to take place between January 5 and 10. Seyffart made the bold prediction during an online discussion with finance lawyer Scott Johnson, and commodities expert Thomas George.
Okay the window for potential spot #Bitcoin ETF approval is looking like its gonna be between Jan 5 & Jan 10 2024. I spoke with @thomasg_grizzle & @ScottW_Grizzle this morning and nailed this call. https://t.co/sOU950QlXj pic.twitter.com/y9JYdEpjNH
— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) November 30, 2023
Notably, the January 10 deadline for the spot Bitcoin ETF approval is based on the fact that the US SEC is expected to make the final decision on Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF. Additionally, the US SEC lost its case in a court of law against Grayscale Investments earlier this year. Since then, the SEC team has met with several spot Bitcoin ETF applicants which has resulted in notable changes and re-filings.
Earlier this week, Cathie Wood liquidated her stake in GBTC, which was viewed to be a preparation for an imminent approval of the spot ETF. Additionally, BlackRock Inc (NYSE: BLK) has intensified its Bitcoin acquisition through mining companies, and MicroStrategy Inc (NASDAQ: MSTR) recently purchased more than 16k more BTCs.
As a result, most experts believe the approval rate for spot Bitcoin ETF in the United States has significantly increased, especially with the heightened regulatory crackdown on legacy crypto exchanges like Binance, Kraken, and Bybit.
Price Action and Market Outlook
Bitcoin and the digital asset industry are expected to grow exponentially in the coming years fueled by the poor monetary policies made by most global central banks to print money haphazardly. According to our latest market data, Bitcoin price is currently retesting the resistance/support level around $38.4k after a strong breakout earlier today. However, crypto traders should be wary of possible pre-halving correction caused by the ‘sell the news’ narrative after the spot Bitcoin ETFs are approved in the United States. Moreover, the spot ETF issue in the United States has significantly been hyped in the past few months.